Skin temperature is not core temperature
The temperature that governs a hot flush is your core temperature, deep in the body, held within a narrow comfortable band. What a ring or a watch measures is skin temperature at the surface, which is influenced by the room, your bedding, blood flow, and the device sitting against you. The two are related, but they are not the same number.
This is why a wearable reads temperature as a trend across the night rather than a single exact value. The overnight pattern, the shape of the curve, tells you more than any one reading.
What happens to temperature in perimenopause
Hot flushes are a temperature event. Research into their mechanism describes them as being triggered by small rises in core temperature acting within a thermoneutral zone that has narrowed, so that a change your body once absorbed now tips into a flush and a burst of sweating. There is a daily rhythm to this, with flushes tending to peak in the early evening. During sleep, the picture shifts again, and flushes disturb the first half of the night more than the second.
So the temperature signal in perimenopause is not random. It has structure, and that structure is part of what makes it readable.
What a device can and cannot claim
A wearable can show that your skin temperature is running differently, that its overnight shape has changed across a season, and that certain nights carry the temperature and heart rate signature of a flush. That is genuinely useful.
What it cannot do is measure a hot flush perfectly. Efforts to capture flushes objectively through skin sensors have run into real limits. One study comparing a sternal skin sensor against women's own diaries found the device and the person agreed only about a quarter of the time, which is a sharp reminder that a signal is not the same as the experience. Other work has shown that combining temperature with humidity, the sweat side of a flush, detects these events more reliably than temperature alone. The honest position is that these devices are good at patterns and imperfect at individual events.
When to talk to a GP
Temperature changes in midlife are usually part of the menopausal transition, but not always. A persistent fever, night sweats that are drenching or come with weight loss, or feeling unwell in a way that does not fit, are worth taking to your GP rather than a graph. anna does not diagnose, and this article is not medical advice.